Scoop Election 08: edited by Gordon Campbell

TV3 Poll 20/04/08 – Lab 38 Nat 48

April 21st, 2008

3 News Opinion Poll Results
April 10th -16th 2008

Party Vote (compared to Feb 2008)

Labour 38% (up 3)
National 48% (down 3)
Greens 5.8% (down 1.2)
Maori 2.9% (up 0.9)
ACT 0.5% (down 0.5)
NZ First 3.4% (up 0.4)
United Future 0.3% (up 0.2)
Progressive – (down 0.1)

Preferred PM (compared to Feb 2008)

Helen Clark 32 (up 4)
John Key 29 (down 6)
Winston Peters 6 (up 1)


Full poll results (PDF) including methodology. electorate votes, leader performance and assement.
TV3 Video – Poll shows Helen Clark making a comeback against muddling John Key

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    1. 2 Responses to “TV3 Poll 20/04/08 – Lab 38 Nat 48”

    2. By Idiot/Savant on Apr 21, 2008 | Reply

      Oddly, this was presented as a “compelling lead” by RadioNZ last night, but when you look at the seat count, its very very close indeed.

      Also, why the hell are they still listing Christian Heritage? They shut down years ago…

    3. By Bruce Thorpe on Apr 22, 2008 | Reply

      Two points about the poll. figures and method.

      A telephone poll seems to me would need a strong mobile sample, or miss out on critical sectors of the community. Youth, employed, busy,Maori would all be affected by any preference for land line.
      The relationship between the Labour “votes” and the uncommitted seem very closely related. That could point to a section of the sample that describes itself to be uncommitted mid term, but Labour voting come election.

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